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Benchmark Review

Generated 2026-05-19T22:22:51Z · rankings as_of 2026-05-19 05:22 PM CDT · WARN

Internal model validation — not financial advice.

Findings

NameStatusDetail
sector_concentration:main_top10WARNmain_top10: top sector Financial Services = 50% of bucket
sector_concentration:watchlist_top10WARNwatchlist_top10: top sector Technology = 50% of bucket
sector_concentration:supp_top10WARNsupp_top10: top sector Technology = 40% of bucket
sector_concentration:main_top25WARNmain_top25: top sector Financial Services = 40% of bucket
sector_concentration:watchlist_top25WARNwatchlist_top25: top sector Technology = 60% of bucket
sector_concentration:supp_top25WARNsupp_top25: top sector Technology = 40% of bucket

Market Context

TickerLast1d21d63d252d>50DMA>200DMA
SPY733.730-0.67%3.53%6.91%—yesyes
QQQ701.530-0.62%8.46%15.80%—yesyes
IWM273.000-1.08%-1.57%3.41%—yesyes

SPY 21d: 3.53% · Main top25 ~10d window: 5.70% · Watchlist top25 ~10d window: 9.62%
bucket window return is from the ~10-day sparkline shipped with rankings; SPY 21d is the closest available benchmark window

Leader Buckets

main_top10 (n=10)

1d return (mean / median / %+)1.67% / 1.54% / 90.00%
5d return (mean / median / %+)2.90% / 2.70% / 90.00%
~10d window return (mean / median / %+)5.80% / 4.10% / 100.00%
ai_score (mean / median)8.230 / 8.100
fundamental (mean / median)8.550 / 8.650
technical (mean / median)8.030 / 8.200
swing_score (mean / median)6.970 / 7.000
Top sectorFinancial Services (50.00%) CONC
Missing closes / sector0 / 0

watchlist_top10 (n=10)

1d return (mean / median / %+)-1.35% / -0.69% / 20.00%
5d return (mean / median / %+)-0.56% / 0.95% / 60.00%
~10d window return (mean / median / %+)8.87% / 8.69% / 100.00%
ai_score (mean / median)7.690 / 7.650
fundamental (mean / median)7.997 / 7.985
technical (mean / median)7.460 / 7.700
swing_score (mean / median)6.111 / 5.900
Top sectorTechnology (50.00%) CONC
Missing closes / sector0 / 0

supp_top10 (n=10)

1d return (mean / median / %+)-0.17% / -0.29% / 50.00%
5d return (mean / median / %+)2.46% / 3.35% / 60.00%
~10d window return (mean / median / %+)5.35% / 2.68% / 70.00%
ai_score (mean / median)6.760 / 6.750
fundamental (mean / median)7.881 / 8.130
technical (mean / median)5.660 / 5.600
swing_score (mean / median)— / —
Top sectorTechnology (40.00%) CONC
Missing closes / sector0 / 0

main_top25 (n=25)

1d return (mean / median / %+)1.10% / 0.48% / 68.00%
5d return (mean / median / %+)2.29% / 2.76% / 80.00%
~10d window return (mean / median / %+)5.70% / 4.73% / 96.00%
ai_score (mean / median)8.072 / 8.000
fundamental (mean / median)8.236 / 8.200
technical (mean / median)7.992 / 8.200
swing_score (mean / median)6.844 / 7.000
Top sectorFinancial Services (40.00%) CONC
Missing closes / sector0 / 0

watchlist_top25 (n=25)

1d return (mean / median / %+)-1.03% / -0.61% / 36.00%
5d return (mean / median / %+)-0.84% / -1.54% / 48.00%
~10d window return (mean / median / %+)9.62% / 8.54% / 80.00%
ai_score (mean / median)7.356 / 7.300
fundamental (mean / median)7.445 / 7.400
technical (mean / median)7.184 / 7.200
swing_score (mean / median)6.018 / 5.900
Top sectorTechnology (60.00%) CONC
Missing closes / sector0 / 0

supp_top25 (n=25)

1d return (mean / median / %+)0.36% / 0.09% / 52.00%
5d return (mean / median / %+)1.17% / -0.27% / 50.00%
~10d window return (mean / median / %+)2.33% / 1.05% / 52.00%
ai_score (mean / median)6.100 / 5.900
fundamental (mean / median)6.813 / 6.500
technical (mean / median)5.036 / 4.500
swing_score (mean / median)— / —
Top sectorTechnology (40.00%) CONC
Missing closes / sector0 / 0

Forward-performance scaffold

Snapshots tracked: 14 (retention 90 days). No lookahead — horizons resolved only after the trading-day count elapses.

HorizonCompletedPendingBucketAvg of mean returnsWins / Losses
1d130main_top10-0.22%4 / 6
1d130watchlist_top10-0.24%4 / 6
1d130supp_top10-0.24%5 / 6
3d100main_top10-0.10%5 / 5
3d100watchlist_top100.38%6 / 4
3d100supp_top10-0.84%4 / 5
5d80main_top100.27%4 / 4
5d80watchlist_top100.84%4 / 4
5d80supp_top10-1.06%3 / 5
10d30main_top103.57%3 / 0
10d30watchlist_top103.51%3 / 0
10d30supp_top10-1.18%1 / 2
20d00no completed horizons yet